Is microdosing a placebo? A rapid review of low-dose LSD and psilocybin research
This review (2024) critically assesses the available evidence from dose-controlled studies investigating low doses of LSD and psilocybin. It proposes eight potential issues, such as small sample sizes, a limited number of controlled studies, and the possibility of selection bias, that challenge the claims that microdosing is predominantly a placebo effect. It suggests that it is currently inconclusive whether microdosing is merely a placebo.
Authors
- Liknaitzky, P.
- Polito, V.
Published
Abstract
Some recent research and commentary have suggested that most or all the effects reported by people who microdose psychedelics may be explained by expectations or placebo effects. In this rapid review, we aimed to evaluate the strength of evidence for a placebo explanation of the reported effects of microdosing. We conducted a PubMed search for all studies investigating psychedelic microdosing with controlled doses and a placebo comparator. We identified 19 placebo-controlled microdosing studies and summarised all positive and null findings across this literature. Risk of bias was assessed using the Cochrane risk-of-bias tool for randomised trials. The reviewed papers indicated that microdosing with LSD and psilocybin leads to changes in neurobiology, physiology, subjective experience, affect, and cognition relative to placebo. We evaluate methodological gaps and challenges in microdosing research and suggest eight reasons why current claims that microdosing is predominately a placebo are premature and possibly wrong: (1) there have been only a small number of controlled studies; (2) studies have had small sample sizes; (3) there is evidence of dose-dependent effects; (4) studies have only investigated the effects of a small number of doses; (5) the doses investigated may have been too small; (6) studies have looked only at non-clinical populations; (7) studies so far have been susceptible to selection bias; and (8) the measured impact of expectancy is small. Considering the available evidence, we conclude that it is not yet possible to determine whether microdosing is a placebo.
Research Summary of 'Is microdosing a placebo? A rapid review of low-dose LSD and psilocybin research'
Introduction
Microdosing—the regular ingestion of sub-hallucinogenic amounts of classic serotonergic psychedelics such as LSD or psilocybin—became widely discussed from about 2015, fuelled by anecdote and media reports claiming benefits for mood, cognition and wellbeing. Early academic work was dominated by surveys, qualitative interviews and observational prospective studies; more rigorous controlled research only began to appear from 2018. Importantly, some early controlled designs that attempted to blind participants, including a notable self-blinding prospective study, found little difference between placebo and active microdoses and suggested that participants' beliefs about what they had taken strongly influenced outcomes. In response to this mixed picture, Polito and colleagues carried out a rapid review that focused specifically on microdosing studies in which the quantity of psychedelic administered was known and a placebo comparison was included. The stated aim was to synthesise the controlled-dose literature in order to evaluate the extent to which observed effects might reflect pharmacology versus placebo or expectancy effects, and to identify methodological gaps that limit causal inference in this field.
Methods
The authors performed a rapid review searching for peer-reviewed human studies, published after 2018, that investigated controlled doses within a microdose range of classical serotonergic psychedelics and included a placebo comparator. They excluded papers where a microdose was only used as a comparator for higher doses and naturalistic self-report studies without known dosing. Search terms targeted psychedelic substances together with indicators of low-dose administration in titles or abstracts. Each author screened results independently and resolved disagreements by consensus. Inclusion criteria were: use of classic/serotonergic psychedelics, controlled microdose-range administration, presence of a placebo condition, reporting of primary empirical data, human subjects, and peer-reviewed publication. The initial search returned 131 items; after de-duplication 127 titles and abstracts were screened, 29 full texts were reviewed, and 19 papers met the inclusion criteria. Risk of bias was assessed using the revised Cochrane risk-of-bias tool for randomised trials. The review restricted attention to studies reporting mental health or cognitive enhancement outcomes and focused only on studies with an explicit placebo comparison.
Results
Nineteen papers that met the inclusion criteria were synthesised, though these derived from only 10 independent dose-controlled experiments conducted by six different laboratories. Thirteen of the 19 papers (68%) reported trial registrations, but many registrations lacked pre-specified analysis plans and the authors note that 14/19 studies (74%) did not provide pre-registered analyses. Overall risk-of-bias assessments indicated low risk for randomisation, missing data and outcome measurement, but blinding was frequently imperfect. Neurobiological outcomes: Six neuroimaging or electrophysiological studies reported consistent neural changes associated with microdosing. Findings included altered effective connectivity in visual cortex from dynamic causal modelling, changes in amygdala–cerebellum connectivity in fMRI, reduced default mode network resting activity and increased neural complexity in EEG, reduced resting-state EEG power after psilocybin microdoses, altered error rates in visual oddball tasks, and increased ERP responses during reward processing under LSD. Physiology and biomarkers: Microdosing studies reported increased pain tolerance and higher brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF) levels in some LSD studies. Measures of sleep quality, app-based physical activity and balance showed no effects. Cardiovascular findings were mixed: several LSD studies found no blood pressure or heart rate changes, while three reported increases. No long-term safety data were available and the authors highlight theoretical concerns about chronic activation of 5-HT2B receptors and cardiac risk. Phenomenology and subjective state: Across both LSD and psilocybin studies, visual analogue scale ratings reliably showed increased acute subjective effects on items such as feeling "under the influence", "good drug effects", subjective intensity, happiness and productivity. Standardised altered-states instruments (e.g. 5D-ASC) yielded inconsistent results; some subscales (oceanic boundlessness, insightfulness, visionary restructuralisation) showed changes in some studies but not others. Addiction Research Centre Inventory subscales were higher under microdosing in different studies, but without consistent patterns across studies. Affective outcomes: LSD microdosing consistently increased acute vigour; other mood dimensions showed inconsistent results across studies. Some trials reported immediate or 48-hour mood improvements in participants with higher baseline depressive symptoms, whereas most trials of healthy volunteers found no persisting mood benefits over weeks. Psilocybin microdoses increased perceived awe but did not change aesthetic experience or standard affect measures such as the Positive and Negative Affect Scale. Cognition and behaviour: Results were mixed. There were suggestions that LSD microdosing can alter time perception and reduce attentional lapses, and psilocybin microdosing was associated with increased verbosity and sentiment in language production. However, many studies failed to detect effects on standard cognitive batteries, creativity tasks, suggestibility or self-representation, and social-cognitive findings were inconsistent. Mental health endpoints: Only four studies assessed wellbeing or clinical symptom measures; one reported reductions in depression among participants with elevated baseline depressive symptoms after an LSD microdose, while the others found no differences in depression, anxiety, stress or wellbeing between microdose and placebo conditions. All clinical-like assessments were carried out in non-clinical, largely healthy samples. Blinding and expectancy: Twelve studies evaluated blinding and 11 of those reported participants guessed condition at rates greater than chance, indicating frequent breaking of naïve blinding. Some analyses showed that participants' beliefs about treatment influenced outcomes and in at least one study guesses had stronger associations with outcomes than actual condition. Nonetheless, when quantitatively assessed in other studies, expectancy explained only a modest proportion of outcome variance (for example 5%–8% in one observational study).
Discussion
The authors interpret the controlled-dose literature as showing a mixture of signal and null findings. They highlight relatively consistent evidence for neurobiological effects, acute changes in conscious state, increased vigour and greater pain tolerance as among the more robust findings. By contrast, outcomes commonly touted in anecdotes and media—improvements in creativity and broad cognitive enhancement—are not well supported by the controlled studies reviewed. Methodological issues complicate causal inference. Small numbers of independent experiments, small sample sizes (average microdose-group N ≈ 31), heterogeneity of substances, doses and measures, and limited duration of exposure reduce sensitivity to detect subtle pharmacological effects. The authors note dose-dependent effects in several LSD studies, which argue for a pharmacological contribution, but they caution that many psilocybin studies may have used doses too low to reach meaningful plasma concentrations. All controlled studies reviewed used non-clinical participants and most recruited individuals with prior psychedelic experience, introducing selection bias and elevated expectations that could both influence results. Blinding failure is emphasised as a central concern: no reviewed study used an active placebo, and several investigations show that participants commonly identified their condition. While some studies report that expectations or guesses exerted substantial influence on outcomes, the authors conclude that the evidence for expectancy as the primary mechanism is mixed and in many analyses accounted for only a small fraction of variance. They therefore reject a definitive placebo-only interpretation on current evidence. In sum, Polito and colleagues argue that the field remains nascent and that current data are insufficient to conclude that microdosing effects are entirely placebo driven. They call for well-powered, longitudinal trials that include clinical populations, systematic dose–response work, longer-term dosing paradigms reflective of naturalistic use, better blinding strategies (for example active placebos), and stronger pre-registration and open science practices to settle whether observed effects are pharmacological, expectancy-driven, or some combination of both.
Conclusion
So, is microdosing a placebo? The authors conclude that there is not yet strong evidence for a purely placebo interpretation. Given the limited number of low-powered studies, selection biases, concerns about inadequate doses in some trials, reliance on non-clinical samples, and frequent blinding failures, definitive attribution of effects to drug versus expectation is premature. The review recommends further well-powered, longitudinal, and pre-registered research across healthy and clinical populations to determine the mechanisms and potential clinical utility of microdosing.
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SECTION
contents of each specific dose, and then completed a 4-week microdosing regimen, providing regular reports to the investigators. That study found little difference between the placebo and active dosing conditions and also found that participants' guesses about whether they had consumed a placebo or genuine microdose had a strong influence on outcomes. Another prospective study reported that wellbeing outcomes were predicted by microdosers' expectations. There have also now been 19 lab-based studies of microdosing that have administered controlled doses of either LSD or psilocybin. Our earlier review included details on eight of these lab studies (i.e., eight lab studies specifically investigating microdosing, published between 2018 and 2021). Since completing that review, there have been a further 11 publications reporting either controlled lab studies of microdosing or field studies that have used a measured and controlled dose (see Tablefor all microdosing studies with controlled doses). These studies, where decreases of 'angry', irritable. Expectancy/Experience: Self-reported changes post intervention exceeded expectancies for 'energy', 'happy', connected'. VAS: no sig. differences in 'calmExpectancy/Experience: No sig. differences between self-reported changes post intervention and baseline expectancies for 'angryTrait: no sig differences on BFI, DFlex, FFMQ, MODTAS. Emotion: do sig differences on NIH Emotion Battery, DASS, PSS. Cognition: No sig. differences on NIH Cognitive Battery. Safety/tolerability: No sig. differences in blood pressure, heart rate.Dynamic causal modelling: increased modulation of inhibitory feedforward connections across visual cortex. Long-term potentiation: No effect of LSD on LTP (but some evidence of within-subjects changes in placebo group). Papers reporting on the same data are displayed in a single row. the quantity of psychedelic substances is known and controlled, provide a more rigorous standard of evidence than studies based on self-administration. Overall, studies with controlled doses have provided mixed evidence about the effectiveness of microdosing. This appears to have led to a shift in sentiment in media reporting and attitudes among some scientists, with emerging claims that microdosing may be largely driven by placebo effects and expectations. In this paper, we review all the microdosing studies with known and controlled doses, with a particular focus on what this body of evidence can tell us about the role of placebo in explaining the outcomes that are reported by people who microdose. Whereas our earlier review aimed to comprehensively describe all studies with lowdose psychedelics, here we specifically evaluate what the most rigorous studies reveal about the mechanisms underlying microdosing.
METHOD
This rapid review followed a similar search procedure to. Specifically, we conducted a database search that targeted all papers investigating mental health or cognitive enhancement outcomes related to ingestion of a psychedelic compound with controlled doses in the microdose range (see criteria below). We aimed to identify papers with a term related to any psychedelic substance in the title, plus a term indicating low doses in the title or abstract. Notably, in this study, we included only studies where microdoses were administered along with a placebo comparison control. This meant that we excluded papers where a microdose was itself used as a comparator in a study investigating the effects of higher doses of psychedelics (e.g.,, and studies where participants reported on naturalistic microdosing experiences. We restricted our search to papers published after 2018, which is when the first controlled microdosing study was published. The Inclusion criteria were: (1) use of 'classical' or serotonergic psychedelics; (2) controlled doses within a microdose range (see Tablein; (3) inclusion of a placebo comparator condition; (4) reporting of primary empirical data; (5) use of human subjects; and (6) peer-reviewed publications. Papers were screened by each author independently, and any disagreements were resolved through discussion and consensus. The initial search resulted in 131 items. After duplicates were removed, 127 titles and abstracts were screened. Full-text screening was conducted on 29 papers, which led to final sample of 19 papers, as shown in Figure. Risk of bias was assessed using the revised Cochrane risk-of-bias tool for randomised trials.
RESULTS
In this section, we comprehensively summarise all empirical findings and null results from the microdosing literature. We identify five broad categories of findings: neurobiological, physiological, phenomenological, affective and cognitive. Here we focus on synthesising findings across these domains. In the following section, we evaluate what this evidence tells us about the likely mechanisms driving microdosing's effects. Tablesummarises the design and key findings of all microdosing studies with controlled doses. This summary shows a large number of variables have been investigated, with numerous findings that differentiate microdosing from placebo, and also numerous reported null effects. 13/19 (68%) of these papers reported pre-registration in clinical trials databases.
KEY FINDINGS
Neurobiological: There have been six neuroimaging studies to date. These show fairly consistent evidence of neural changes related to microdosing.failed to find direct evidence that LSD changed evoked responses to stimuli in an EEG visual long-term potentiation paradigm but did find that dynamic causal modelling of cortical activity showed changes in inhibitory feedforward responses consistent with enhanced neural plasticity. In an fMRI study,showed that microdosing LSD led to changes in neural connectivity across amygdala and cerebellum regions that may be implicated in depression. In an EEG experiment,showed that low doses of LSD led to reduced resting state activity in the default mode network and increased neural complexity in a manner consistent with findings from studies high-dose psychedelics.also reported reduced error rates in a visual oddball paradigm utilising face stimuli, suggesting that microdoses of LSD may lead to changes in facial or emotional processing.showed comparable reduced EEG resting state power following microdoses of psilocybin but did not find differences in auditory oddball ERP responses. Finally, in an ERP study,showed increased neural responses to reward processing in an LSD microdosing condition compared to placebo. Physiological: Studies also showed that microdosing impacts other physiological and biological processes. In particular, microdosing LSD appears to increase both pain toleranceand levels of brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF;. There was no evidence that microdosing impacts subjective sleep quality, general levels of physical activity measured by an app-based fitness tracker, or balance. Findings related to blood pressure and heart rate were mixed: several LSD studies found no changes, but three LSD studies did report either increased blood pressure or heart rate. There were no data on blood pressure or heart rate changes in psilocybin studies. We note that no studies have investigated the long-term safety of microdosing. There are concerns that chronic use of 5-HT2B receptor agonists, even at low doses, may have negative impacts on cardiac health, and so this is an important question to address. Phenomenological: There is consistent evidence showing that microdosing of both LSD and psilocybin changes individuals' acute conscious state. In particular, VAS ratings of feeling 'under the influence', 'good drug effects' 'subjective intensity', 'happy' and 'productive' were reliably increased following microdosing. Ratings using standardised measures of consciousness alteration (the 5D-ASC, 11D-ASC or Ego Dissolution Inventory) were less clear. There were indications that microdosing both LSD and psilocybin impacted scores on 'oceanic boundlessness', 'dread of ego dissolution', 'visionary restructuralisation', 'vigilance reduction', 'anxiety', 'experience of unity', 'blissful state', 'changed meanings of percepts', 'insightfulness', 'complex imagery' and 'impaired cognition and control', but these findings were not consistent across all of the studies that used the ASC scales.reported that healthy participants who scored relatively high on a measure of depressive symptoms scored higher on 'spiritual experience', 'blissful state', 'insightfulness', 'oceanic boundlessness' and 'disembodiment' following an LSD microdose. None of the studies found evidence that microdosing increased altered state dimensions related to 'ego dissolution', 'elemental imagery' or 'synaesthesia'. Similarly, studies using the Addiction Research Centre Inventory (ARCI;all showed that LSD microdosing scored higher than placebo but across different subscales in different studies. Affective: LSD microdosing was consistently shown to increase acute mood states related to feelings of vigour. There were also indications of increases in mood state scores related to 'friendliness', 'anxiety', 'elation', 'depression', 'anger', 'fatigue' and 'confusion', but these were not found across all studies.found some evidence of acute increased positive mood states and decreased negative mood states only on the days that participants took an LSD microdose but little evidence of persisting mood changes after a period of 6 weeks of microdosing. By contrast,found positive mood impacts immediately after ingesting LSD and also 48 h post-dosing. These changes were particularly pronounced for individuals higher in depressive symptoms at baseline. Psilocybin microdosing did lead to increased perception of awe but did not lead to changes in aesthetic experience. Neither LSD nor psilocybin microdosing led to changes on the Positive and Negative Affect Scale, Emotional Images Tasknor an emotion-based go/no go task. Cognitive: There have been some intriguing indications that LSD microdosing may impact cognitive functioning, in particular leading to changes in time perceptionand reduced attentional lapses. There were also mixed findings related to social cognition, with one study showing reduced negative social processing during a cyberball task (de Wit et al., 2022) and one showing no changes. Psilocybin microdosing did lead to changes in language production, characterised by increased verbosity and sentiment scores. However, these findings must be interpreted cautiously as several studies failed to find any evidence that microdosing impacts performance on standard cognitive batteries, creativity tasks, suggestibility, or self-representation. Mental health: Only four studies investigated measures related to wellbeing or mental health.found that participants with relatively high rates of depressive symptoms showed reductions in depression following an LSD microdose (but not following placebo).found no difference in depression anxiety stress scale (DASS) depression, anxiety or stress scores following LSD microdosing. Similarly,found no difference in DASS scores following psilocybin microdosing. Finally,found no difference in wellbeing or any change in state or trait anxiety following psilocybin microdosing. It is worth noting, however, that all of these studies recruited healthy samples (see section 'Studies have only looked at non-clinical populations').
RISK OF BIAS
A summary of risk of bias for the reviewed studies is shown in Figure. Overall, there was fairly low risk of bias across the reviewed literature, with studies on psilocybin appearing to be particularly rigorous. Across all studies, there was low risk of bias related to randomisation process, missing outcome data, and measurement of outcomes. The risk of bias analysis highlighted that, overall, blinding was poor across the reviewed studies. Specifically, 12/19 studies assessed blinding, and 11 of these reported that participants in at least one condition broke blind at rates greater than chance. However, there was no evidence that breaking blind led to any deviations in intended interventions, and so according to the Cochrane risk-of-bias algorithm, this was a low risk of bias. We believe that the relationship between blinding, expectations and outcomes is particularly nuanced and complex in the context of microdosing, and these issues are discussed in detail below. There were some concerns of bias in selection of reported results. This was due to a lack of pre-registered analyses for 14/19 studies (74%). Despite the majority of studies having clinical trial registrations, many of these did not include details on what statistical tests would be performed. A lack of open science practices has been identified as a particular problem for psychedelic scienceand was also evident in this review of microdosing.
DISCUSSION
This review highlights a range of neurobiological, physiological, phenomenological, cognitive, and affective changes associated with microdosing psychedelics in placebo-controlled studies (see Table). On the one hand, this set of findings appears to indicate that microdosing is having some effects. The most compelling or reliable effects include neurobiological changes, changes in acute conscious state, increased feelings of vigour and increased pain tolerance. Tablealso shows that there are several variables that do not appear to differ between microdosing and placebo conditions. These results indicate that microdosing may not have beneficial effects on creativity or cognition despite these being the main benefits reported in anecdotes and media stories. However, a methodological challenge for many microdosing studies is that the success of blinding methods is largely unknown, making any distinction between drug and expectancy effects difficult. Twelve studies assessed participants' ability to guess their experimental condition, and these indicated only partial success of the blind in the drug condition (seefor further discussion of blinding issues in microdosing research). No microdosing studies to date have used an active placebo. As the majority of studies reviewed here indicated significant subjective effects in the microdosing condition only, it is likely that a substantial proportion of participants in these studies were able to identify whether they had taken a microdose. Relatedly,reported that participants' beliefs about what they had taken had a stronger influence on outcomes than their actual experimental condition. Given the null findings reviewed above, difficulty blinding, and a small number of studies that suggest a larger role for expectancy than drug effects with microdosing, it is understandable that scepticism has dampened some of the early enthusiasm for the effects and potential usefulness of microdosing, at least within the scientific community. However, in our view, there is currently insufficient evidence to be confident that the effects attributed to microdosing are drug or placebo effects or some combination of both. Instead, the field is nascent, with good reasons for both scepticism and enthusiasm, with considerable need for more research. Below, we present eight reasons that one ought to be cautious about jumping to conclusions regarding the mechanisms driving current findings.
ONLY A SMALL NUMBER OF STUDIES
First, there is a relatively small amount of empirical data to draw conclusions from. Although there have been 19 papers reporting dose-controlled microdosing studies, several of these papers have come from the same datasets. There have been just 10 independent dose-controlled microdosing experiments conducted by just six different labs (see Table). Only two of these experiments have investigated psilocybin. Furthermore, the substance, doses, measures, and methods used have varied considerably across these studies, meaning that there have not been many directly replicated findings across this literature.
STUDIES HAVE SMALL SAMPLE SIZES
Second, sample sizes in these controlled studies have been small. The average number of participants in microdosing conditions across all 10 experiments was 31. If there are true pharmacological effects of microdosing, these are likely to be relatively small (certainly smaller than the effect sizes found in high-dose psychedelic studies). To detect such effects, larger samples are likely to be needed.
EVIDENCE OF DOSE-DEPENDENT EFFECTS
Third, these studies have reported a range of outcomes that differ between microdosing and placebo conditions. For example, there is consistent evidence that both LSD and psilocybin microdosing lead to changes in neurophysiology and subjective effects. Of particular note, studies with LSD that included multiple doses within the microdosing range consistently showed dose-dependent effects. This was the case for both psychological (e.g.,and neurophysiological variables (e.g.,. This suggests pharmacology is impacting certain outcomes, distinct from any expectancy effects. So far, there have not been any psilocybin studies comparing multiple doses. Further, we note that although the findings summarised in this review are broadly compatible between LSD and psilocybin microdosing, psilocybin microdosing has been less well studied and there may turn out to be substance-specific effects that do not generalise between these substances.) reported on the cumulative effects of four doses of LSD taken over 3 weeks, andandreported on the effects of 4 or 6 doses of LSD taken over 2 weeks. Onlyhave investigated the effects of microdosing for a period longer than a month. They reported on the cumulative effects of 14 doses of LSD taken over 6 weeks. Although it is scientifically interesting to explore the effects of a single dose or a small number of doses, findings from studies focused on short-term microdosing may have limited generalisability to the reported benefits of microdosing in naturalistic settings, which are generally associated with recurrent dosing for many weeks or months. Like pharmaceutical serotonergic medications, microdoses may have long-term cumulative effects. Studies to date have not investigated this possibility. As a comparison, if we were to assess changes to an individual's mood after administration of a single dose of traditional antidepressant medication, we would be unlikely to find any effect, even though long-term use of that medication may lead to significant improvement. This may explain the apparent lack of mood and mental health benefits in these studies, despite common reports of such effects in 'the wild'.
DOSES INVESTIGATED MAY BE TOO SMALL
Fifth, studies of psilocybin may have investigated doses that are too low for therapeutic or cognitive enhancement effects. Determining the appropriate doses for microdosing research is complex: the appropriate dose range is likely to be quite narrow, being high enough to produce meaningful changes but low enough to be sub-hallucinogenic and without functional impairment. However, people appear to show wide variability in dose response to psychedelics, implying that optimal microdoses and any associated benefits may depend on precise individual tailoring. Consequently, it is possible that many microdosing studies have used inadequately small doses to produce meaningful changes (seefor related discussion on bidirectional effects). In particular, only two psilocybin experiments were included, one of which used psilocybin truffles with the equivalent of 0.8 mg synthetic psilocybin, the other used truffles with the equivalent of 1.5 mg synthetic psilocybin.reported pharmacokinetic analyses of low doses of psilocybin, showing that the peak plasma psilocin concentration following ingestion of 3 mg synthetic psilocybin was just 2 µg/L. Inferring from these results, it seems likely that the doses investigated in the psilocybin microdosing studies (0.8 and 1.5 mg psilocybin) would lead to psilocin concentration levels of approximately 1 µg/L or less. This may not be sufficient for meaningful psychopharmacological effects.
STUDIES HAVE ONLY LOOKED AT NON-CLINICAL POPULATIONS
Sixth, all of the microdosing studies reviewed here investigated non-clinical volunteers. Findings across these samples were mostly not supportive of microdosing improving mental or physical health variables. However,compared healthy volunteers with high and low rates of depressive symptoms at baseline. They found improvements in depression and mood states immediately after taking an LSD microdose and 48 h later for the high depressive symptoms group only. This suggests that the general lack of mental health improvements across the reviewed studies may be explained by ceiling effects at the group level (e.g., the limited ability for any intervention to improve levels of depression in a non-depressed sample). Indeed, self-report data on microdosing indicates significant clinical benefits. These claims can only be validly tested in controlled clinical samples, and this research has not yet been done.
SELECTION BIAS
Seventh, the studies reviewed involve considerable levels of selection bias. Specifically, all but one of these studies either recruited volunteers with prior experience of psychedelics or recruited from community events organised by psychedelic education organisations. This means that it is likely that participants across all of these studies had well-formed expectations and beliefs about the efficacy of psychedelics that may differ from psychedelic-naïve individuals. These expectations may have influenced results in several ways. For example, experienced psychedelic users may have been more able to distinguish when they were in a placebo condition and, therefore, more disappointed. Studies in more representative samples would provide a clearer test of potential pharmacological effects with less confounding effects related to beliefs and expectations.
MEASURED IMPACT OF EXPECTANCY IS SMALL
Eighth, although several papers have suggested that the effects of microdosing may be largely due to placebo and expectation effects, when these effects are measured directly, findings are at best mixed. The strongest evidence for the claim that expectations drive the reported effects of microdosers comes from (a), who showed that participants who broke blind reported greater microdosing effects compared to those who remained blinded and (b), who showed that participants' guess as to whether they had taken a microdose or placebo had a much greater impact on outcomes than whether or not they had actually consumed a microdose. These results are compelling; however, it is notable that Cavanna et al. may have used insufficient doses for pharmacological effects (0.8 mg psilocybin; see section 'Doses investigated may be too small') andwas an observational study with unknown dosing. Additional evidence for expectancy effects comes from, who found that baseline expectations predicted mood and wellbeing outcomes in an observational, prospective microdosing study. However, the proportion of variance explained by expectations was only 5%-8%, suggesting that this is not a primary mechanism for explaining the outcomes of microdosing. Similarly, the other studies reviewed here do not provide strong evidence for expectation effects. In the study of Leiden University (reported by, the role of expectation was inconsistent: expectation did predict feelings of awe but did not predict mood or interoception. Finally,reported a clear disconnect between expectations and outcomes on a cognitive vigilance task, with the majority of participants increasing accuracy in the microdosing condition but reporting expectations that their performance had deteriorated. Overall, based on the current data, it seems that although expectations likely have an influence on at least some microdosing outcomes, there is no compelling evidence to suggest that this is the primary mechanism for the majority of reported effects in these studies or in the wild.
CONCLUSION
So, is microdosing a placebo? This is a question that seems to evoke strong opinions among psychedelic researchers. A microdosing sceptic will look at the results in Tableand argue that all or most of the effects that have been reported are due to expectation and placebo effects. Ultimately, that may turn out to be correct. However, we argue that based on current data, there is no strong evidence for a placebo interpretation of the effects of microdosing. Specifically, there has only been a small number (section 'Only a small number of studies') of low-powered studies (section 'Studies have small sample sizes'), with methodological concerns including selection bias (section 'Selection bias') and problematically small doses (section 'Doses investigated may be too small'). Additionally, most research has looked only into the acute effects of microdosing in healthy populations -almost nothing is known about the sustained impacts of a course of microdoses in a controlled setting (section 'Studies have only investigated a small number of doses'), and we have no data at all on potential clinical effects (section 'Studies have only looked at non-clinical populations'). These issues mean that research to date may not have been sensitive enough to detect subtle pharmacological effects of low doses. Nevertheless, even within this restricted set of data there is considerable evidence of dose-dependent changes that do suggest microdosing drug effects (section 'Evidence of dose-dependent effects'). Finally, studies that have directly investigated the role of expectation have not found consistent evidence that participants' beliefs are the primary driver of outcomes (section 'Measured impact of expectancy is small'), undermining the case for a placebo interpretation. Overall, in light of consistent reports of benefits from selfreport studies (e.g.,and lack of clear evidence on the role placebo in controlled studies to date, further microdosing research is warranted. To definitively determine what is driving the positive effects reported by microdosers, we need well-powered, longitudinal studies across both healthy and clinical populations.
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