Journal of Affective Disorders

Natural speech algorithm applied to baseline interview data can predict which patients will respond to psilocybin for treatment-resistant depression

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Ashton, M., Carhart-Harris, R. L., Carrillo, F., Fernández Slezak, D., Fitzgerald, L., Nutt, D. J., Sigman, M., Stroud, J.

This machine-learning study (n=17) was able to predict the therapeutic effectiveness of psilocybin for treatment-resistant depression using an algorithm applied to natural speech data from the baseline interviews. The results were 85% accurate and 75% precise.

Abstract

Background: Natural speech analytics has seen some improvements over recent years, and this has opened a window for objective and quantitative diagnosis in psychiatry. Here, we used a machine-learning algorithm applied to natural speech to ask whether language properties measured before psilocybin for treatment-resistant can predict for which patients it will be effective and for which it will not.Methods: A baseline autobiographical memory interview was conducted and transcribed. Patients with treatment-resistant depression received 2 doses of psilocybin, 10 mg and 25 mg, 7 days apart. Psychological support was provided before, during and after all dosing sessions. Quantitative speech measures were applied to the interview data from 17 patients and 18 untreated age-matched healthy control subjects. A machine-learning algorithm was used to classify between controls and patients and predict treatment response.Results: Speech analytics and machine learning successfully differentiated depressed patients from healthy controls and identified treatment responders from non-responders with a significant level of 85% of accuracy (75% precision).Conclusions: Automatic natural language analysis was used to predict effective response to treatment with psilocybin, suggesting that these tools offer a highly cost-effective facility for screening individuals for treatment suitability and sensitivity. Limitations: The sample size was small and replication is required to strengthen inferences on these results.